Granada CF vs Cadiz
Granada CFvs
CadizHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Granada CF host Cadiz in the Segunda División, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Nuevo Los Cármenes. Granada CF sit 10th in the table and Cadiz are 20th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games Granada CF have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W W L D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Cadiz have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (D D L L L). Cadiz are averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.97 to 1.58.
Granada's strong home form (WWLDL) combined with Cadiz's poor away record (DDLLL, 0.67 goals per game away) creates an imbalanced matchup. The 69% probability for over 2.5 reflects realistic goal output given xG totals and team averages.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.588%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)80%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away76%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw70%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.569%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes69%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)60%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away54%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.553%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.547%
- Home Win · Home46%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)40%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.531%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No31%
- Away Win · Away30%
- Draw · Draw24%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.512%
- Correct Score · 1-110%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- W@Burgos0-1
- L@Leganes3-2
- DvAlbacete1-1
- L@Eibar3-0
- W@Cordoba1-3
- LvSporting Gijon0-1
- LvGirona1-2
- LvLas Palmas0-1
- L@Almeria3-2
- DvValladolid1-1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.33 | 1.33 | 10 |
| Cadiz | 1 | 1.5 | 20 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Castellón | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mallorca | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sabadell | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijon | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Girona | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Granada CF | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Valladolid | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Celta de Vigo II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Eldense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 |  Leganes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |  FC Andorra | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 |  Cordoba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 1 |
Other matches to check
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- Annecy v NancyLigue 216 Oct 202619:00
- Heerenveen v ExcelsiorEredivisie16 Oct 202619:00
- Al-Ittihad FC v Al ShababPro League16 Oct 202619:00
See the full board on the homepage or browse Segunda División.
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.