Annecy vs Nancy
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Annecy host Nancy in the Ligue 2, kicking off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Parc des Sports d’Annecy. Annecy sit 6th in the table and Nancy are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Annecy have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (D W L L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Nancy have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (W L L W W). Nancy are averaging 1.1 scored and 0.9 conceded per game, keeping 4 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 79% at odds of 1.27. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.41 to 1.45.
Annecy and Nancy are evenly matched with nearly identical xG profiles. Both teams have clean sheet records and demonstrate attacking competence. Over 1.5 is a sound pick at 79% confidence.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.579%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away72%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)72%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.568%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away65%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw63%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes59%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.554%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)51%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)49%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.546%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No41%
- Away Win · Away37%
- Home Win · Home35%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.532%
- Draw · Draw28%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.521%
- Correct Score · 1-113%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- LvDijon1-2
- L@Guingamp2-1
- W@Grenoble1-2
- DvMetz1-1
- W@Rodez3-4
- LvReims1-2
- L@Nantes1-0
- WvDunkerque2-0
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annecy | 1.25 | 1.13 | 6 |
| Nancy | 1.13 | 0.88 | 5 |
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 17 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +6 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 17 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.