Laval vs Clermont Foot

Laval host Clermont Foot in the Ligue 2, kicking off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Stade Francis-Le Basser. Laval sit 18th in the table and Clermont Foot are 17th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Laval have taken 1 draw and 4 defeats (L L L D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Clermont Foot have taken 4 draws and 1 defeat (D D D D L). Clermont Foot are averaging 0.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 77% at odds of 1.3. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.08 to 1.36.

Laval and Clermont are both struggling sides in the bottom half with minimal attacking threat and defensive frailty. Combined xG is only 2.44, and both teams' form indicates low-scoring, low-confidence play. Under 3.5 is a strong pick.