Major League Soccer03:30Dignity Health Sports Park

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego

Los Angeles Galaxyvs

San Diego

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5

83%

Odds 1.2

Match odds

Home / Draw / Away

Los Angeles Galaxy

1.96

51%

Draw

4.00

25%

San Diego

4.17

24%

Why this pick

Match analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy host San Diego in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Dignity Health Sports Park. Los Angeles Galaxy sit 8th in the table and San Diego are 12th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Los Angeles Galaxy have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L W L D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games San Diego have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (W L L L D). San Diego are averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 7 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 83% at odds of 1.2. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.87 to 1.23.

Galaxy's recent form (6-2, 2-0, 2-1 wins) shows attacking potency. San Diego has conceded in multiple recent games despite one win. The 83% Over 1.5 probability is well-supported by attacking capability and defensive fragility.

One grid, every market

Market probabilities

Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.583%
Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw76%
Double Chance 12 · Home or Away75%
Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)75%
Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)68%
Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.562%
Both Teams to Score · Yes61%
Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.560%
Home Win · Home51%
Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away49%
Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.540%
Both Teams to Score - No · No39%
Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.538%
Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)32%
Draw · Draw25%
Away Win · Away24%
Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.517%
Correct Score · 1-112%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

No recent head-to-head meetings on record.

Last 10 matches

Recent form

Los Angeles Galaxy · last 6

WvPortland Timbers2-0
L@St. Louis City6-2
W@Minnesota United FC2-3
DvSeattle Sounders1-1
L@Vancouver Whitecaps3-0
WvNew England Revolution2-1

San Diego · last 6

DvHouston Dynamo3-3
L@New York Red Bulls4-1
D@Inter Miami2-2
LvPhiladelphia Union0-5
LvSan Jose Earthquakes2-3
L@Orlando City SC1-0

Per match

Goals for & against

Team	For	Against	Pos.
Los Angeles Galaxy	1.26	1.56	8
San Diego	1.69	1.69	12

Standings

Major League Soccer table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	29	17	6	3	+41	66
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	29	15	4	6	+31	52
2	Inter Miami	29	12	10	4	+20	52
2	St. Louis City	29	12	8	6	+16	51
3	FC Dallas	29	12	8	6	+8	50
3	New England Revolution	29	14	4	8	+7	49
4	San Jose Earthquakes	29	12	6	8	+10	47
4	Chicago Fire	29	11	6	8	+9	48
5	Houston Dynamo	29	13	5	8	+2	46
5	Charlotte	29	12	7	7	+8	46
6	Philadelphia Union	29	10	6	10	+13	45
6	Los Angeles FC	30	11	8	8	+15	45
7	Seattle Sounders	29	8	8	9	+2	41
7	Orlando City SC	29	10	4	12	-15	38
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	30	8	9	10	-9	39
8	New York Red Bulls	29	9	6	11	-15	36
9	Colorado Rapids	29	11	3	12	0	38
9	FC Cincinnati	28	8	9	8	-8	36
10	New York City FC	29	8	8	10	+2	33
10	Portland Timbers	29	9	5	12	-5	33
11	Real Salt Lake	29	8	5	13	-5	33
11	Toronto FC	29	6	11	9	-11	33
12	DC United	28	6	11	8	-11	33
12	San Diego	29	8	7	11	-3	33
13	Columbus Crew	29	7	5	14	-3	32
13	Minnesota United FC	29	7	8	11	-9	31
14	Austin	29	7	9	10	-17	31
14	Atlanta United FC	29	7	5	14	-12	30
15	CF Montreal	29	5	6	15	-24	24
15	Sporting Kansas City	29	5	3	17	-37	22