Major League Soccer01:30BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas

Houston Dynamovs

FC Dallas

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5

80%

Odds 1.25

Match odds

Home / Draw / Away

Houston Dynamo

2.94

34%

Draw

3.57

28%

FC Dallas

2.63

38%

Why this pick

Match analysis

Houston Dynamo host FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at BBVA Compass Stadium. Houston Dynamo sit 5th in the table and FC Dallas are 3rd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Houston Dynamo have taken 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (D D W L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 11 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games FC Dallas have taken 3 wins and 2 draws (D W W W D). FC Dallas are averaging 1.9 scored and 1.6 conceded per game, keeping 5 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 80% at odds of 1.25. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.39 to 1.50.

Houston's form (DDWLD) and Dallas's creative output (1.88 goals for avg) combine to produce a likely multi-goal contest. BTTS probability of 60% suggests an open, entertaining match with regular scoring.

One grid, every market

Market probabilities

Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.580%
Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)73%
Double Chance 12 · Home or Away72%
Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.567%
Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away66%
Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw62%
Both Teams to Score · Yes60%
Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.555%
Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)53%
Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)47%
Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.545%
Both Teams to Score - No · No40%
Away Win · Away38%
Home Win · Home34%
Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.533%
Draw · Draw28%
Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.520%
Correct Score · 1-113%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

No recent head-to-head meetings on record.

Last 10 matches

Recent form

Houston Dynamo · last 6

D@San Diego3-3
D@Minnesota United FC2-2
DvFC Cincinnati2-2
L@San Jose Earthquakes1-0
WvReal Salt Lake2-1
D@Charlotte0-0

FC Dallas · last 6

WvSeattle Sounders1-0
L@Charlotte3-2
DvAustin0-0
WvPortland Timbers2-1
W@Minnesota United FC1-2
WvSporting Kansas City4-3

Per match

Goals for & against

Team	For	Against	Pos.
Houston Dynamo	1.31	1.15	5
FC Dallas	1.88	1.62	3

Standings

Major League Soccer table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	29	17	6	3	+41	66
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	29	15	4	6	+31	52
2	Inter Miami	29	12	10	4	+20	52
2	St. Louis City	29	12	8	6	+16	51
3	FC Dallas	29	12	8	6	+8	50
3	New England Revolution	29	14	4	8	+7	49
4	San Jose Earthquakes	29	12	6	8	+10	47
4	Chicago Fire	29	11	6	8	+9	48
5	Houston Dynamo	29	13	5	8	+2	46
5	Charlotte	29	12	7	7	+8	46
6	Philadelphia Union	29	10	6	10	+13	45
6	Los Angeles FC	30	11	8	8	+15	45
7	Seattle Sounders	29	8	8	9	+2	41
7	Orlando City SC	29	10	4	12	-15	38
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	30	8	9	10	-9	39
8	New York Red Bulls	29	9	6	11	-15	36
9	Colorado Rapids	29	11	3	12	0	38
9	FC Cincinnati	28	8	9	8	-8	36
10	New York City FC	29	8	8	10	+2	33
10	Portland Timbers	29	9	5	12	-5	33
11	Real Salt Lake	29	8	5	13	-5	33
11	Toronto FC	29	6	11	9	-11	33
12	DC United	28	6	11	8	-11	33
12	San Diego	29	8	7	11	-3	33
13	Columbus Crew	29	7	5	14	-3	32
13	Minnesota United FC	29	7	8	11	-9	31
14	Austin	29	7	9	10	-17	31
14	Atlanta United FC	29	7	5	14	-12	30
15	CF Montreal	29	5	6	15	-24	24
15	Sporting Kansas City	29	5	3	17	-37	22