New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
New York City FC host Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Citi Field. New York City FC sit 10th in the table and Los Angeles FC are 6th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games New York City FC have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (D D L W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Los Angeles FC have taken 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (D D W L D). Los Angeles FC are averaging 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game, keeping 13 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.64 to 1.76.
LAFC is the superior team with better attacking metrics and defensive solidity. New York's home record is mixed and they conceded recently (1-2 to New England). Draw or Away is the prudent play.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away88%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)84%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.578%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away75%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.571%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)66%
- Away Win · Away63%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No59%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.557%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.543%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes41%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw37%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.529%
- Draw · Draw25%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.522%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)16%
- Correct Score · 0-115%
- Home Win · Home12%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- L@Inter Miami2-0
- L@Chicago Fire2-1
- LvNew York Red Bulls0-1
- W@Real Salt Lake0-2
- LvNew England Revolution1-2
- DvNashville SC0-0
- WvAustin3-1
- DvVancouver Whitecaps1-1
- D@San Jose Earthquakes2-2
- L@Sporting Kansas City3-1
- WvNew York Red Bulls2-0
- D@Real Salt Lake2-2
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | 1.5 | 1.31 | 10 |
| Los Angeles FC | 1.59 | 1.07 | 6 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 3 | +41 | 66 | |
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 6 | +31 | 52 | |
| 2 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 4 | +20 | 52 | |
| 2 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 51 | |
| 3 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 50 | |
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 8 | +7 | 49 | |
| 4 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +10 | 47 | |
| 4 | 29 | 11 | 6 | 8 | +9 | 48 | |
| 5 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +2 | 46 | |
| 5 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +8 | 46 | |
| 6 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 45 | |
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +15 | 45 | |
| 7 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 41 | |
| 7 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -15 | 38 | |
| 8 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 39 | |
| 8 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -15 | 36 | |
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 38 | |
| 9 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 8 | -8 | 36 | |
| 10 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 33 | |
| 10 | 29 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -5 | 33 | |
| 11 | 29 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 33 | |
| 11 | 29 | 6 | 11 | 9 | -11 | 33 | |
| 12 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -11 | 33 | |
| 12 | 29 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 33 | |
| 13 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -3 | 32 | |
| 13 | 29 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -9 | 31 | |
| 14 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -17 | 31 | |
| 14 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -12 | 30 | |
| 15 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -24 | 24 | |
| 15 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -37 | 22 |
Other matches to check
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- Heerenveen v ExcelsiorEredivisie16 Oct 202619:00
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- Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC KölnBundesliga16 Oct 202619:30
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.