Major League Soccer00:30Exploria Stadium

Orlando City SC vs DC United

Orlando City SCvs

DC United

Our pick

Home Win

Home

78%

Odds 1.28

Match odds

Home / Draw / Away

Orlando City SC

1.28

78%

Draw

6.67

15%

DC United

16.67

Why this pick

Match analysis

Orlando City SC host DC United in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Exploria Stadium. Orlando City SC sit 7th in the table and DC United are 12th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Orlando City SC have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (D W W W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games DC United have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (L D W D L). DC United are averaging 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded per game, keeping 6 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Home Win (Home) as the pick, rated 78% at odds of 1.28. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.63 to 0.66.

Statistical model favors Home (Orlando City SC vs DC United) at 78% based on expected goals of 2.63-0.66.

One grid, every market

Market probabilities

Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw94%
Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)93%
Double Chance 12 · Home or Away85%
Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.585%
Home Win · Home78%
Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)77%
Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.564%
Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.558%
Both Teams to Score - No · No54%
Both Teams to Score · Yes46%
Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.542%
Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.536%
Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away22%
Draw · Draw15%
Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.515%
Correct Score · 2-013%
Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)7%
Away Win · Away6%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

No recent head-to-head meetings on record.

Last 10 matches

Recent form

Orlando City SC · last 6

D@Toronto FC3-3
WvColumbus Crew3-2
L@New England Revolution4-2
WvToronto FC3-0
W@Atlanta United FC2-3
WvSan Diego1-0

DC United · last 6

WvNew York Red Bulls2-1
L@Inter Miami4-0
LvCharlotte1-2
DvAtlanta United FC0-0
WvColumbus Crew2-1
DvLos Angeles FC0-0

Per match

Goals for & against

Team	For	Against	Pos.
Orlando City SC	1.77	2.31	7
DC United	1.24	1.56	12

Standings

Major League Soccer table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	29	17	6	3	+41	66
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	29	15	4	6	+31	52
2	Inter Miami	29	12	10	4	+20	52
2	St. Louis City	29	12	8	6	+16	51
3	FC Dallas	29	12	8	6	+8	50
3	New England Revolution	29	14	4	8	+7	49
4	San Jose Earthquakes	29	12	6	8	+10	47
4	Chicago Fire	29	11	6	8	+9	48
5	Houston Dynamo	29	13	5	8	+2	46
5	Charlotte	29	12	7	7	+8	46
6	Philadelphia Union	29	10	6	10	+13	45
6	Los Angeles FC	30	11	8	8	+15	45
7	Seattle Sounders	29	8	8	9	+2	41
7	Orlando City SC	29	10	4	12	-15	38
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	30	8	9	10	-9	39
8	New York Red Bulls	29	9	6	11	-15	36
9	Colorado Rapids	29	11	3	12	0	38
9	FC Cincinnati	28	8	9	8	-8	36
10	New York City FC	29	8	8	10	+2	33
10	Portland Timbers	29	9	5	12	-5	33
11	Real Salt Lake	29	8	5	13	-5	33
11	Toronto FC	29	6	11	9	-11	33
12	DC United	28	6	11	8	-11	33
12	San Diego	29	8	7	11	-3	33
13	Columbus Crew	29	7	5	14	-3	32
13	Minnesota United FC	29	7	8	11	-9	31
14	Austin	29	7	9	10	-17	31
14	Atlanta United FC	29	7	5	14	-12	30
15	CF Montreal	29	5	6	15	-24	24
15	Sporting Kansas City	29	5	3	17	-37	22