Major League Soccer19:30Talen Energy Stadium

Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte

Philadelphia Unionvs

Charlotte

Our pick

Double Chance 1X

Home or Draw

91%

Odds 1.1

Match odds

Home / Draw / Away

Philadelphia Union

1.52

66%

Draw

4.00

25%

Charlotte

11.11

Why this pick

Match analysis

Philadelphia Union host Charlotte in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Talen Energy Stadium. Philadelphia Union sit 6th in the table and Charlotte are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Philadelphia Union have taken 5 wins (W W W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Charlotte have taken 3 wins and 2 draws (W D W D W). Charlotte are averaging 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, keeping 5 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 91% at odds of 1.1. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.74 to 0.50.

Philadelphia's form and home record dominate. Charlotte averages only 0.5 xG away and has lost consistently. Home or Draw at 0.91 is the clear market choice.

One grid, every market

Market probabilities

Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw91%
Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)88%
Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.581%
Double Chance 12 · Home or Away75%
Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.567%
Home Win · Home66%
Both Teams to Score - No · No66%
Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)63%
Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.561%
Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.539%
Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away34%
Both Teams to Score · Yes34%
Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.533%
Draw · Draw25%
Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.519%
Correct Score · 1-017%
Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)12%
Away Win · Away9%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

No recent head-to-head meetings on record.

Last 10 matches

Recent form

Philadelphia Union · last 6

W@Chicago Fire1-3
WvReal Salt Lake2-1
W@Sporting Kansas City3-4
W@San Diego0-5
WvFC Cincinnati5-0
WvCF Montreal2-0

Charlotte · last 6

L@Columbus Crew3-1
WvFC Dallas3-2
W@DC United1-2
D@FC Cincinnati3-3
W@CF Montreal1-2
DvHouston Dynamo0-0

Per match

Goals for & against

Team	For	Against	Pos.
Philadelphia Union	1.92	1.62	6
Charlotte	1.81	1.42	5

Standings

Major League Soccer table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	29	17	6	3	+41	66
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	29	15	4	6	+31	52
2	Inter Miami	29	12	10	4	+20	52
2	St. Louis City	29	12	8	6	+16	51
3	FC Dallas	29	12	8	6	+8	50
3	New England Revolution	29	14	4	8	+7	49
4	San Jose Earthquakes	29	12	6	8	+10	47
4	Chicago Fire	29	11	6	8	+9	48
5	Houston Dynamo	29	13	5	8	+2	46
5	Charlotte	29	12	7	7	+8	46
6	Philadelphia Union	29	10	6	10	+13	45
6	Los Angeles FC	30	11	8	8	+15	45
7	Seattle Sounders	29	8	8	9	+2	41
7	Orlando City SC	29	10	4	12	-15	38
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	30	8	9	10	-9	39
8	New York Red Bulls	29	9	6	11	-15	36
9	Colorado Rapids	29	11	3	12	0	38
9	FC Cincinnati	28	8	9	8	-8	36
10	New York City FC	29	8	8	10	+2	33
10	Portland Timbers	29	9	5	12	-5	33
11	Real Salt Lake	29	8	5	13	-5	33
11	Toronto FC	29	6	11	9	-11	33
12	DC United	28	6	11	8	-11	33
12	San Diego	29	8	7	11	-3	33
13	Columbus Crew	29	7	5	14	-3	32
13	Minnesota United FC	29	7	8	11	-9	31
14	Austin	29	7	9	10	-17	31
14	Atlanta United FC	29	7	5	14	-12	30
15	CF Montreal	29	5	6	15	-24	24
15	Sporting Kansas City	29	5	3	17	-37	22