Serie B20:00Estádio Rei Pelé

CRB vs Botafogo SP

CRBvs

Botafogo SP

Our pick

Double Chance 1X

Home or Draw

86%

Odds 1.16

Match odds

Home / Draw / Away

CRB

1.64

61%

Draw

3.85

26%

Botafogo SP

7.14

14%

Why this pick

Match analysis

CRB host Botafogo SP in the Serie B, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estádio Rei Pelé. CRB sit 7th in the table and Botafogo SP are 16th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games CRB have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (W W L W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Botafogo SP have taken 1 draw and 4 defeats (L L L L D). Botafogo SP are averaging 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded per game, keeping 5 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 86% at odds of 1.16. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.75 to 0.72.

CRB are strong at home and Botafogo SP are struggling form-wise with only 1 win in last 6. The gap in expected goals and home/away patterns is substantial. Draw or home win captures the likely outcome.

One grid, every market

Market probabilities

Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw86%
Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)82%
Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.576%
Double Chance 12 · Home or Away74%
Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.572%
Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)67%
Home Win · Home61%
Both Teams to Score - No · No56%
Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.555%
Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.545%
Both Teams to Score · Yes44%
Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away39%
Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.528%
Draw · Draw26%
Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.524%
Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)18%
Away Win · Away14%
Correct Score · 1-013%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

No recent head-to-head meetings on record.

Last 10 matches

Recent form

CRB · last 6

D@Fortaleza EC2-2
L@Ponte Preta1-0
WvSport Recife2-1
L@Operario-PR3-0
WvAmerica Mineiro3-1
WvCriciuma2-1

Botafogo SP · last 6

WvCeara1-0
D@Athletic Club1-1
LvGoias1-3
LvNovorizontino1-3
L@Nautico Recife1-0
LvCuiaba1-2

Per match

Goals for & against

Team	For	Against	Pos.
CRB	1.45	1.41	7
Botafogo SP	1.1	1.24	16

Standings

Serie B table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova	33	16	6	8	+15	61
2	Novorizontino	33	14	9	7	+31	60
3	Juventude	33	14	8	7	+18	60
4	Fortaleza EC	33	14	9	6	+10	57
5	Criciuma	33	13	8	8	+6	56
6	Atletico Goianiense	33	12	10	7	+10	53
7	CRB	33	13	6	10	+4	52
8	Sport Recife	33	11	11	7	+10	51
9	Goias	33	12	6	11	-6	48
10	Operario-PR	33	13	8	8	-1	48
11	Cuiaba	33	10	13	6	+6	47
12	São Bernardo	33	11	8	10	+10	46
13	Athletic Club	33	10	11	8	+1	43
14	Nautico Recife	33	10	8	11	-3	42
15	Ceara	33	9	8	12	-5	42
16	Botafogo SP	33	8	8	13	-1	41
17	Avai	33	8	6	15	-10	36
18	Londrina	33	7	7	16	-7	29
19	America Mineiro	33	4	5	20	-33	17
20	Ponte Preta	33	3	4	22	-55	13