Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Ponte Preta host Atletico Goianiense in the Serie B, kicking off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Moisés Lucarelli. Ponte Preta sit 20th in the table and Atletico Goianiense are 6th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Ponte Preta have taken 1 win and 4 defeats (L L L L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Atletico Goianiense have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W D W W L). Atletico Goianiense are averaging 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded per game, keeping 10 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Correct Score (0-0) as the pick, rated 39% at odds of 2.56. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.42 to 0.55.
Statistical model favors 0-0 (Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense) at 39% based on expected goals of 0.42-0.55.
Market probabilities
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.598%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.592%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No84%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away79%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.573%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw70%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)59%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away51%
- Draw · Draw49%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)41%
- Correct Score · 0-039%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)35%
- Away Win · Away30%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.527%
- Home Win · Home21%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes16%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.58%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.52%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- L@Novorizontino5-1
- WvCRB1-0
- L@Londrina6-0
- L@Sport Recife2-0
- LvSão Bernardo0-2
- L@America Mineiro2-0
- DvSport Recife1-1
- L@São Bernardo1-0
- WvCriciuma4-0
- WvCeara2-1
- D@Juventude2-2
- W@Avai0-1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | 0.59 | 2.14 | 20 |
| Atletico Goianiense | 1.24 | 0.93 | 6 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 8 | +15 | 61 | |
| 2 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +31 | 60 | |
| 3 | 33 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +18 | 60 | |
| 4 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +10 | 57 | |
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +6 | 56 | |
| 6 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +10 | 53 | |
| 7 | 33 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 52 | |
| 8 | 33 | 11 | 11 | 7 | +10 | 51 | |
| 9 | 33 | 12 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 48 | |
| 10 | 33 | 13 | 8 | 8 | -1 | 48 | |
| 11 | 33 | 10 | 13 | 6 | +6 | 47 | |
| 12 | 33 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 46 | |
| 13 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +1 | 43 | |
| 14 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 42 | |
| 15 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -5 | 42 | |
| 16 | 33 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -1 | 41 | |
| 17 | 33 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -10 | 36 | |
| 18 | 33 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -7 | 29 | |
| 19 | 33 | 4 | 5 | 20 | -33 | 17 | |
| 20 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 22 | -55 | 13 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.