Mirassol vs Internacional

Mirassol host Internacional in the Serie A, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at José Maria de Campos Maia. Mirassol sit 15th in the table and Internacional are 17th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Mirassol have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D L W D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Internacional have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (D L L W L). Internacional are averaging 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 6 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 89% at odds of 1.12. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.07 to 0.74.

Mirassol's 2.07 expected goals at home significantly outmatches Internacional's weak away output. Although both teams have short rest (5 days), the home side's form edge is decisive.