Auckland vs Melbourne City
Aucklandvs
Melbourne CityHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Auckland host Melbourne City in the A-League, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Go Media Stadium. Auckland sit 12th in the table and Melbourne City are 10th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Auckland arrive without a tracked recent run to lean on. At home and away combined they are averaging 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Melbourne City arrive without a tracked recent run to lean on. Melbourne City are averaging 0.0 scored and 0.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 78% at odds of 1.28. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.66 to 1.12.
Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Auckland vs Melbourne City) at 78% based on expected goals of 1.66-1.12.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.578%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw76%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away73%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)71%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.570%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)67%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes56%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.553%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away51%
- Home Win · Home49%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.547%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No44%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)33%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.530%
- Draw · Draw27%
- Away Win · Away24%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.522%
- Correct Score · 1-113%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
No recent results tracked yet.
No recent results tracked yet.
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| Melbourne City | 0 | 0 | 10 |
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Central Coast Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Perth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Wellington Phoenix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Melbourne Victory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Melbourne City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Macarthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Auckland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Other matches to check
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.