Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat

Al-Fateh host Al Khaleej Saihat in the Pro League, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium. Al-Fateh sit 16th in the table and Al Khaleej Saihat are 11th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Al-Fateh have taken 3 draws and 2 defeats (D D D L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Al Khaleej Saihat have taken 3 draws and 2 defeats (D L L D D). Al Khaleej Saihat are averaging 0.4 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 6 wins for Al-Fateh, 3 for Al Khaleej Saihat and 1 draw, averaging 3.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 90% at odds of 1.11. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.14 to 0.62.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat) at 90% based on expected goals of 1.14-0.62.