Valerenga vs Brann

Valerenga host Brann in the Eliteserien, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Intility Arena. Valerenga sit 13th in the table and Brann are 7th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Valerenga have taken 3 draws and 2 defeats (D L D L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Brann have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W D L L W). Brann are averaging 1.9 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 84% at odds of 1.19. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.80 to 0.86.

Valerenga's home advantage is clear: xG of 1.8 versus Brann's 0.86, and Brann have not played in 28 days (potential ring rustiness). The 84% confidence reflects a significant home edge in this fixture.