Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg

Sarpsborg 08 FF host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Sarpsborg Stadion. Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th in the table and Rosenborg are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Sarpsborg 08 FF have taken 3 draws and 2 defeats (L D D D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Rosenborg have taken 4 wins and 1 defeat (W L W W W). Rosenborg are averaging 1.9 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, keeping 7 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 91% at odds of 1.1. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.52 to 2.34.

High combined expected goals (Rosenborg 2.34, Sarpsborg 1.52) and BTTS probability of 72% indicate a match with multiple goals. Rosenborg's superior attacking output (1.86 away goals avg) should penetrate Sarpsborg's weak form (LDDDL).