Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Santos Laguna host Club Queretaro in the Liga MX, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadio Corona. Santos Laguna sit 14th in the table and Club Queretaro are 3rd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Santos Laguna have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L D L W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Club Queretaro have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D L W W D). Club Queretaro are averaging 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 91% at odds of 1.1. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.94 to 0.75.
Low-scoring Liga MX clash. Santos are struggling (17th place) with minimal home production. Querétaro, despite rest advantage, is not particularly threatening away (0.75 xG). Under 3.5 is heavily favoured.
Market probabilities
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.591%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.576%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw74%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No66%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away63%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away63%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)59%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)53%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.552%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.548%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)41%
- Home Win · Home37%
- Draw · Draw37%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes34%
- Away Win · Away26%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.524%
- Correct Score · 0-020%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.59%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- W@Atletico San Luis1-2
- W@Toluca2-3
- WvFC Juarez2-1
- L@Cruz Azul1-0
- DvTigres UANL0-0
- DvLeon1-1
- W@Club Tijuana0-1
- W@Atlas1-3
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna | 1 | 1.67 | 14 |
| Club Queretaro | 1.38 | 1 | 3 |
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 21 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 18 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 18 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 15 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 13 | |
| 13 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 | |
| 16 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 11 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 9 | |
| 18 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -18 | 4 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.