Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol

Juve Stabia host Sudtirol in the Serie B, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Stadio Romeo Menti. Juve Stabia sit 20th in the table and Sudtirol are 4th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Juve Stabia have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (L W L D D). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Sudtirol have taken 3 wins and 2 draws (W D W D W). Sudtirol are averaging 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 80% at odds of 1.25. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.14 to 1.78.

Sudtirol's attacking quality away from home (1.78 xG) and Juve Stabia's defensive weakness (0 clean sheets in 6 games) create a high-scoring scenario. Both teams average 1.4+ xG against.