AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg
AIK Stockholmvs
IFK GoteborgHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
AIK Stockholm host IFK Goteborg in the Allsvenskan, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Strawberry Arena. AIK Stockholm sit 9th in the table and IFK Goteborg are 8th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games AIK Stockholm have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (W D L D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games IFK Goteborg have taken 4 wins and 1 draw (D W W W W). IFK Goteborg are averaging 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Away Win (Away) as the pick, rated 86% at odds of 1.16. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.45 to 2.94.
Statistical model favors Away (AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg) at 86% based on expected goals of 0.45-2.94.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away97%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)97%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away89%
- Away Win · Away86%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.586%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)78%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.566%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No65%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.556%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.544%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes35%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.534%
- Correct Score · 0-215%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw14%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.514%
- Draw · Draw11%
- Home Win · Home3%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)3%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- L@Halmstad2-1
- DvMjallby AIF1-1
- LvVasteras SK FK1-4
- D@Malmo FF0-0
- WvHammarby FF3-2
- W@IF Brommapojkarna0-1
- WvHalmstad2-1
- W@Mjallby AIF1-4
- WvOrgryte IS1-0
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | 1.41 | 1.55 | 9 |
| IFK Goteborg | 1.41 | 1.86 | 8 |
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 23 | 16 | 3 | 3 | +25 | 54 |
| 2 |  Djurgardens IF | 23 | 13 | 2 | 7 | +27 | 44 |
| 3 |  Hammarby FF | 23 | 13 | 4 | 5 | +28 | 43 |
| 4 |  IF Elfsborg | 23 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +13 | 40 |
| 5 |  BK Hacken | 23 | 9 | 9 | 4 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 |  Malmo FF | 23 | 10 | 3 | 9 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 |  Vasteras SK FK | 23 | 10 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | IFK Goteborg | 23 | 9 | 5 | 8 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | AIK Stockholm | 23 | 9 | 6 | 7 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 |  Gais | 23 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +7 | 30 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 23 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 23 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 |  Degerfors IF | 23 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 20 |
| 14 |  Kalmar FF | 23 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -16 | 19 |
| 15 |  Orgryte IS | 23 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -27 | 15 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 23 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -28 | 14 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.