Ried vs Austria Vienna
Riedvs
Austria ViennaHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Ried host Austria Vienna in the Bundesliga, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Innviertel Arena. Ried sit 5th in the table and Austria Vienna are 10th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games Ried have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L W L D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Austria Vienna have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W L L W D). Austria Vienna are averaging 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 80% at odds of 1.25. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.74 to 1.01.
Ried at home is solid defensive unit with 1.71 goals against average. Austria Vienna's inconsistency (WLLWD form) and weakness away makes home/draw the clear path.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw80%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.578%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away73%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)72%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)71%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.570%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes54%
- Home Win · Home53%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.552%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.548%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away47%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No46%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.530%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)28%
- Draw · Draw27%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.522%
- Away Win · Away20%
- Correct Score · 1-113%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- WvWolfsberger AC4-1
- DvRed Bull Salzburg1-1
- L@TSV Hartberg3-2
- LvSturm Graz0-2
- D@Grazer AK2-2
- WvAustria Lustenau2-1
- LvWSG Wattens0-1
- L@Red Bull Salzburg4-1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | 1.57 | 1.71 | 5 |
| Austria Vienna | 1 | 1.86 | 10 |
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +16 | 21 |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 5 | Ried | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 9 |
| 8 |  Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 |  WSG Wattens | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 11 |  SCR Altach | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.