Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.vs
GalatasarayHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Gençlerbirliği S.K. host Galatasaray in the Süper Lig, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Eryaman Stadium. Gençlerbirliği S.K. sit 13th in the table and Galatasaray are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Gençlerbirliği S.K. have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (W D L L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Galatasaray have taken 4 wins and 1 defeat (W W W W L). Galatasaray are averaging 2.2 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 77% at odds of 1.3. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.33 to 1.41.
Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray) at 77% based on expected goals of 1.33-1.41.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.577%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away71%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)71%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.570%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away66%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw63%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes57%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)53%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.552%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.548%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)47%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No43%
- Away Win · Away37%
- Home Win · Home34%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.530%
- Draw · Draw29%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.523%
- Correct Score · 1-114%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- L@Başakşehir4-0
- LvKasımpaşa1-2
- L@Trabzonspor5-0
- DvErzurumspor FK1-1
- LvBarcelona1-4
- L@Trabzonspor4-0
- WvKocaelispor1-0
- L@Sporting CP3-1
- W@Başakşehir2-3
- WvGöztepe3-2
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.83 | 2.17 | 13 |
| Galatasaray | 2.17 | 1.67 | 1 |
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Amed | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Fenerbahçe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 13 |
| 5 |  Trabzonspor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Çorum FK | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 |  Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Göztepe | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -18 | 3 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.