Aberdeen vs ST Mirren
Aberdeenvs
ST MirrenHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Aberdeen host ST Mirren in the Premiership, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Pittodrie Stadium. Aberdeen sit 8th in the table and ST Mirren are 7th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Aberdeen have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (L L D W D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games ST Mirren have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (D W L L L). ST Mirren are averaging 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Draw (Draw) as the pick, rated 49% at odds of 2.04. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.53 to 0.48.
Statistical model favors Draw (Aberdeen vs ST Mirren) at 49% based on expected goals of 0.53-0.48.
Market probabilities
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.598%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.592%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No83%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw76%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away73%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.572%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)53%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away51%
- Draw · Draw49%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)47%
- Correct Score · 0-038%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)37%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.528%
- Home Win · Home27%
- Away Win · Away24%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes17%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.58%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.52%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- LvST Johnstone0-1
- D@Hibernian1-1
- W@Motherwell0-4
- DvKilmarnock0-0
- L@Celtic3-0
- LvRangers0-1
- LvDundee Utd0-3
- L@Rangers1-0
- LvCeltic1-2
- W@Kilmarnock0-1
- DvMotherwell3-3
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | 1 | 1.14 | 8 |
| ST Mirren | 1.14 | 1.29 | 7 |
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  ST Johnstone | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | ST Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 5 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.