Viking vs Fredrikstad
Vikingvs
FredrikstadHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Viking host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at SR-Bank Arena. Viking sit 1st in the table and Fredrikstad are 8th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games Viking have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (L W D W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Fredrikstad have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (W W L D D). Fredrikstad are averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.16 to 0.97.
Viking's dominant home record (8-1 vs Kristiansund, 3-0 vs Lillestrom) makes home win or draw highly likely. Fredrikstad's away vulnerability (1-2 vs Bodo, 1-4 vs Lillestrom) confirms low upset risk.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw85%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.583%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)81%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away78%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)75%
- Home Win · Home63%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.562%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.560%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes56%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No44%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.540%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.538%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away37%
- Draw · Draw22%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)19%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.517%
- Away Win · Away15%
- Correct Score · 1-110%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- DvBayern München3-3
- WvLillestrom3-0
- WvKristiansund BK8-1
- L@VfB Stuttgart3-1
- D@Sandefjord1-1
- WvAalesund2-1
- DvTromso1-1
- D@Valerenga1-1
- DvSarpsborg 08 FF1-1
- LvBodo/Glimt1-2
- W@Lillestrom1-4
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 2.57 | 0.95 | 1 |
| Fredrikstad | 1.19 | 1.52 | 8 |
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 22 | 16 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 16 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 22 | 11 | 5 | 5 | +11 | 39 |
| 4 |  Molde | 22 | 11 | 3 | 7 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 2 | 9 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 |  Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 10 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 4 | 9 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 6 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 22 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 22 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 |  Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -15 | 21 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -24 | 16 |
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See the full board on the homepage or browse Eliteserien.
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.