Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC
AtromitosPostponed
AEK Athens FCHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Atromitos host AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Peristeri Stadium. Atromitos sit 12th in the table and AEK Athens FC are 2nd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Atromitos have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (L L D D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games AEK Athens FC have taken 3 wins and 2 draws (W D W D W). AEK Athens FC are averaging 2.6 scored and 0.6 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 84% at odds of 1.19. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.67 to 1.51.
Atromitos and AEK Athens are closely matched in expected output. AEK's recent 3-1 win and strong league position (2nd) versus Atromitos' defensive frailty (no clean sheets) suggests goals will flow. Only 3 days rest for AEK noted but doesn't override the model.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.584%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)76%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away74%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw67%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes65%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.562%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.561%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away60%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)55%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)45%
- Home Win · Home40%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.539%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.538%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No35%
- Away Win · Away33%
- Draw · Draw26%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.516%
- Correct Score · 1-112%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- LvKifisia1-2
- D@Iraklis 19081-1
- DvKalamata1-1
- LvPAOK1-2
- L@Shakhtar Donetsk3-1
- W@Volos NFC1-2
- D@Asteras Tripolis1-1
- WvLask Linz1-0
- WvAris Thessalonikis5-0
- D@Kifisia1-1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos | 0.8 | 1.4 | 12 |
| AEK Athens FC | 2.6 | 0.6 | 2 |
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 14 |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 |  PAOK | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 6 |  OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Kifisia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Kalamata | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 1 |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.