Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis

Panathinaikos host Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium. Panathinaikos sit 1st in the table and Asteras Tripolis are 11th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Panathinaikos have taken 5 wins (W W W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Asteras Tripolis have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (L L L D D). Asteras Tripolis are averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.03 to 0.91.

Panathinaikos are in imperious form (2.4 goals for, 0.4 against) and top of the league. Asteras concede heavily (1.8 per game) and struggle away (0.6 goals per away game). Home or Draw is conservative and well-supported.