Championship15:00Racecourse Ground

Wrexham vs Preston

Wrexhamvs

Preston

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5

85%

Odds 1.18

Match odds

Home / Draw / Away

Wrexham

1.96

51%

Draw

4.17

24%

Preston

4.00

25%

Why this pick

Match analysis

Wrexham host Preston in the Championship, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Racecourse Ground. Wrexham sit 17th in the table and Preston are 24th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Wrexham have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (W D D L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Preston have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (L W L L D). Preston are averaging 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.96 to 1.33.

Wrexham at home with 1.96 xG and Preston's offensive capability (1 goal/game away) drive Over 1.5. Both teams' recent form and goal-scoring history support a multi-goal fixture.

One grid, every market

Market probabilities

Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.585%
Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)77%
Double Chance 12 · Home or Away76%
Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw75%
Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)67%
Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.564%
Both Teams to Score · Yes64%
Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.558%
Home Win · Home51%
Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away49%
Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.542%
Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.536%
Both Teams to Score - No · No36%
Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)33%
Away Win · Away25%
Draw · Draw24%
Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.515%
Correct Score · 1-111%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

No recent head-to-head meetings on record.

Last 10 matches

Recent form

Wrexham · last 6

LvWest Brom1-2
WvSouthampton2-1
L@West Ham6-0
DvBurnley1-1
D@Swansea0-0
W@Millwall0-3

Preston · last 6

L@Birmingham4-0
D@QPR2-2
LvLincoln0-1
L@Watford2-1
WvBlackburn2-1
LvBristol City1-3

Per match

Goals for & against

Team	For	Against	Pos.
Wrexham	1.13	1.5	17
Preston	1	1.88	24

Standings

Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	10	5	2	1	+9	23
2	Middlesbrough	10	4	3	1	+6	21
3	West Ham	10	4	3	1	+17	19
4	Birmingham	10	2	5	1	+6	17
5	QPR	10	3	4	1	+6	17
6	West Brom	10	4	2	2	+2	17
7	Southampton	10	4	2	2	+11	16
8	Stoke City	10	4	1	3	+1	16
9	Blackburn	10	2	3	3	+2	15
10	Wolves	9	4	2	1	+2	14
11	Millwall	10	3	2	3	0	14
12	Bristol City	10	4	1	3	-2	14
13	Charlton	10	3	3	2	-3	14
14	Bolton	10	3	1	4	-3	13
15	Sheffield Utd	10	2	3	3	0	12
16	Portsmouth	9	2	2	3	-1	11
17	Wrexham	10	2	4	2	-4	11
18	Lincoln	10	3	2	3	-10	11
19	Cardiff	10	1	4	3	+1	10
20	Norwich	10	3	0	5	-3	9
21	Burnley	10	0	4	4	-4	8
22	Watford	10	2	2	4	-11	8
23	Derby	10	1	2	5	-10	6
24	Preston	10	1	1	6	-12	4