Torino vs Monza

Torino host Monza in the Serie A, kicking off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Stadio Olimpico di Torino. Torino sit 10th in the table and Monza are 14th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Torino have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L W L D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Monza have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (D L W L W). Monza are averaging 1.9 scored and 2.1 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 8 meetings have produced 4 wins for Torino, 1 for Monza and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 0.5 Goals (HT) (Over 0.5 (HT)) as the pick, rated 83% at odds of 1.2. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.63 to 1.27.

Statistical model favors Over 0.5 (HT) (Torino vs Monza) at 83% based on expected goals of 2.63-1.27.