Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Alanyaspor host Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig, kicking off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Alanya Oba Stadium. Alanyaspor sit 9th in the table and Kocaelispor are 8th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Alanyaspor have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (W D W D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Kocaelispor have taken 2 wins and 3 defeats (W L W L L). Kocaelispor are averaging 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.

Their last 3 meetings have produced 2 wins for Alanyaspor, 1 for Kocaelispor and 0 draws, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 79% at odds of 1.27. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.53 to 0.91.

Alanyaspor are strong home favourites with superior expected goals (1.53 to 0.91) and a perfect recent head-to-head record. Kocaelispor's fragile away form (0.38 xG average) and current poor run make the home or draw outcome a high-confidence play.