Levante vs Athletic Club
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Levante host Athletic Club in the La Liga, kicking off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. Levante sit 17th in the table and Athletic Club are 11th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Levante have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (D W D L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Athletic Club have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (L W W D D). Athletic Club are averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.
Their last 9 meetings have produced 0 wins for Levante, 6 for Athletic Club and 3 draws, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Draw (Draw) as the pick, rated 22% at odds of 4.55. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.29 to 1.36.
Statistical model favors Draw (Levante vs Athletic Club) at 22% based on expected goals of 2.29-1.36.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.589%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)81%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw79%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away78%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)73%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.571%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes68%
- Home Win · Home57%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.550%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.550%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away43%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No32%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.529%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)27%
- Draw · Draw22%
- Away Win · Away21%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.511%
- Correct Score · 2-19%
Last 10 meetings
- WAthletic Club
4 - 208/02/2026
LevanteL - LLevante
0 - 229/11/2025
Athletic ClubW - WAthletic Club
3 - 107/03/2022
LevanteL - DLevante
0 - 019/11/2021
Athletic ClubD - DLevante
1 - 126/02/2021
Athletic ClubD - DAthletic Club
1 - 111/02/2021
LevanteD - WAthletic Club
2 - 018/10/2020
LevanteL - LLevante
1 - 212/07/2020
Athletic ClubW - WAthletic Club
2 - 110/11/2019
LevanteL
Recent form
- D@Deportivo La Coruna1-1
- DvSevilla3-3
- L@Villarreal3-1
- LvBarcelona2-4
- D@Malaga0-0
- WvReal Betis5-2
- D@
Valencia0 - 0 - W@
Real Sociedad1 - 0 - Dv
Alaves0 - 0 - Dv
Elche1 - 1 - Wv
Atletico Madrid3 - 0 - W@
Celta Vigo2 - 0 - L@
Barcelona0 - 2 - Lv
Sevilla1 - 3 - L@
Zaragoza1 - 3
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 1.33 | 2 | 17 |
| Athletic Club | 1.17 | 1 | 11 |
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 22 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 11 | |
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 11 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 11 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 9 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -12 | 8 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -12 | 4 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.