Panathinaikos vs PAOK
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Panathinaikos host PAOK in the Super League 1, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Olympic Stadium of Athens. Panathinaikos sit 6th in the table and PAOK are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 1 league game Panathinaikos have taken 1 win (W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 2 league games PAOK have taken 2 wins (W W). PAOK are averaging 3.0 scored and 0.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 3 wins for Panathinaikos, 4 for PAOK and 3 draws, averaging 2.2 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Away Win (Away) as the pick, rated 30% at odds of 3.33. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.35 to 1.15.
Statistical model favors Away (Panathinaikos vs PAOK) at 30% based on expected goals of 1.35-1.15.
Market probabilities
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.576%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.573%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw70%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away70%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)68%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away60%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)57%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.554%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes52%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No48%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.546%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)43%
- Home Win · Home40%
- Away Win · Away30%
- Draw · Draw30%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.527%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.524%
- Correct Score · 1-114%
Last 10 meetings
- DPanathinaikos
2 - 217/05/2026
PAOKD - DPAOK
0 - 005/04/2026
PanathinaikosD - WPAOK
2 - 011/02/2026
PanathinaikosL - LPanathinaikos
0 - 104/02/2026
PAOKW - WPAOK
2 - 021/12/2025
PanathinaikosL - WPanathinaikos
2 - 109/11/2025
PAOKL - WPAOK
2 - 127/04/2025
PanathinaikosL - WPanathinaikos
3 - 113/04/2025
PAOKL - WPanathinaikos
2 - 105/01/2025
PAOKL - DPAOK
0 - 015/09/2024
PanathinaikosD
Recent form
- Wv
Niki Volos1 - 0 - W@
Levadiakos2 - 0 - Dv
Hradec Králové2 - 2 - Dv
CSKA 19481 - 1 - Dv
Paks2 - 2 - W@
Paks2 - 1 - L@
Rapid Vienna1 - 4 - Wv
Grasshoppers3 - 0
- Dv
OFI0 - 0 - W@
Atromitos2 - 1 - L@
Brann2 - 3 - Wv
Levadiakos4 - 0 - Dv
Brann1 - 1 - L@
Anderlecht2 - 3 - Lv
Anderlecht0 - 1 - Wv
Dynamo Kyiv2 - 0 - W@
Dynamo Kyiv3 - 2 - Lv
Twente2 - 3
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| PAOK | 3 | 0.5 | 1 |
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | |
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | |
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.