Levadiakos vs Panetolikos

Levadiakos host Panetolikos in the Super League 1, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Levadia Stadium. Levadiakos sit 14th in the table and Panetolikos are 2nd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Levadiakos have taken 2 defeats (L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Panetolikos have taken 2 wins (W W). Panetolikos are averaging 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 3 wins for Levadiakos, 1 for Panetolikos and 6 draws, averaging 2.2 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 66% at odds of 1.52. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.21 to 1.27.

The model's base is 0.76 for Under 3.5, but Panetolikos' strong attacking form (2.5 goals per game, 2nd place) and Levadiakos' defensive collapse (0 goals, 3 conceded in last game) suggests a tighter match with more goals. Reduce confidence to 66.