Başakşehir vs Galatasaray

Başakşehir host Galatasaray in the Süper Lig, kicking off on Friday, 4 September 2026 at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium. Başakşehir sit 9th in the table and Galatasaray are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 3 league games Başakşehir have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 3 league games Galatasaray have taken 2 wins and 1 draw (D W W). Galatasaray are averaging 3.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for Başakşehir, 8 for Galatasaray and 1 draw, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.30 to 0.62.

Başakşehir at home with high expected goals (2.3) versus Galatasaray's defensive xG profile (0.62) strongly justifies Double Chance 1X at 93%. Only 2 players out for Galatasaray do not materially affect this market.