Cercle Brugge vs Gent
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Cercle Brugge host Gent in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Jan Breydel Stadion. Cercle Brugge sit 13th in the table and Gent are 3rd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 4 league games Cercle Brugge have taken 2 draws and 2 defeats (D D L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 3 league games Gent have taken 3 wins (W W W). Gent are averaging 2.0 scored and 0.7 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 5 wins for Cercle Brugge, 3 for Gent and 2 draws, averaging 3.4 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 86% at odds of 1.16. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.83 to 0.78.
Cercle home advantage with Gent playing just 3 days after previous match (fixture congestion). Gent's recent 2-1 win shows form, but Cercle's xG (1.83 vs 0.78) favours the home side or stalemate.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw86%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)81%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away75%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.575%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.573%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)69%
- Home Win · Home61%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No53%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.552%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.548%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes47%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away39%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.527%
- Draw · Draw25%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.525%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)19%
- Away Win · Away14%
- Correct Score · 2-012%
Last 10 meetings
- LGent
0 - 120/02/2026
Cercle BruggeW - LCercle Brugge
1 - 303/12/2025
GentW - LCercle Brugge
2 - 428/09/2025
GentW - DGent
1 - 115/12/2024
Cercle BruggeD - WCercle Brugge
2 - 126/09/2024
GentL - LGent
1 - 211/02/2024
Cercle BruggeW - WCercle Brugge
2 - 022/10/2023
GentL - DGent
2 - 220/05/2023
Cercle BruggeD - LCercle Brugge
0 - 413/05/2023
GentW - WCercle Brugge
3 - 229/01/2023
GentL
Recent form
- Lv
Lommel United0 - 1 - L@
Club Brugge KV0 - 1 - Dv
St. Truiden3 - 3 - D@
Standard Liege2 - 2 - D@
Monaco2 - 2 - L@
Reims0 - 3 - L@
PEC Zwolle2 - 3 - Dv
Lommel United1 - 1 - L@
RAAL La Louvière1 - 4 - Lv
Zulte Waregem2 - 3
- Wv
OH Leuven1 - 0 - Wv
Club Brugge KV2 - 1 - W@
Hibernian3 - 2 - Dv
Hibernian0 - 0 - W@
RAAL La Louvière2 - 1 - Dv
IFK Goteborg1 - 1 - Wv
KV Mechelen2 - 0 - W@
IFK Goteborg1 - 0 - D@
LNZ Cherkasy0 - 0
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | 1.25 | 1.75 | 13 |
| Gent | 2 | 0.67 | 3 |
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 | |
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 12 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 10 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 8 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 3 | |
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 | |
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 | |
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 | |
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 | |
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 0 | |
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.