Castellón vs Albacete

Castellón host Albacete in the Segunda División, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Castalia. Castellón sit 2nd in the table and Albacete are 21st, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 3 league games Castellón have taken 2 wins and 1 draw (W D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 3 league games Albacete have taken 3 defeats (L L L). Albacete are averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for Castellón, 4 for Albacete and 4 draws, averaging 2.4 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.91 to 1.13.

Both sides have modest attacking output (0.91 and 1.13 xG) with Albacete in crisis form and scoring only 0.67 goals per game. The fixture profiles as low-scoring; Under 3.5 at 85% confidence is well-supported.