Juventus vs AC Milan

Juventus host AC Milan in the Serie A, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Allianz Stadium. Juventus sit 5th in the table and AC Milan are 4th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Juventus have taken 2 wins (W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games AC Milan have taken 2 wins (W W). AC Milan are averaging 2.0 scored and 0.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 2 wins for Juventus, 3 for AC Milan and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 90% at odds of 1.11. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.07 to 0.67.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Juventus vs AC Milan) at 90% based on expected goals of 1.07-0.67.