Bologna vs Sassuolo

Bologna host Sassuolo in the Serie A, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026. Bologna sit 15th in the table and Sassuolo are 11th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Bologna have taken 2 defeats (L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Sassuolo have taken 1 win and 1 defeat (L W). Sassuolo are averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Bologna, 2 for Sassuolo and 4 draws, averaging 3.2 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.04 to 0.85.

Both teams are in poor scoring form. Bologna have no recent goals and both sides show limited attacking threat. Under 3.5 is well-justified.