Belgrano Cordoba vs Huracan

Belgrano Cordoba host Huracan in the Liga Profesional Argentina, kicking off on Friday, 4 September 2026 at Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra. Belgrano Cordoba sit 3rd in the table and Huracan are 9th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Belgrano Cordoba have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D W W L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game this season, with 14 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Huracan have taken 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (D W L D D). Huracan are averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, keeping 11 clean sheets so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 3 wins for Belgrano Cordoba, 3 for Huracan and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.55 to 0.66.

This is a low-scoring fixture. Belgrano averages 0.55 expected goals and Huracan 0.66, with both sides defending well. The model's 97% confidence for Under 3.5 is robust; recent results show defensive competence and the fixture has all the hallmarks of a cautious, tight contest.