Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys

Rosario Central host Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional Argentina, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito. Rosario Central sit 4th in the table and Newells Old Boys are 14th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Rosario Central have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W W D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Newells Old Boys have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D L W W D). Newells Old Boys are averaging 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, keeping 5 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 7 wins for Rosario Central, 1 for Newells Old Boys and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Correct Score (0-0) as the pick, rated 22% at odds of 4.55. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.06 to 0.55.

Statistical model favors 0-0 (Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys) at 22% based on expected goals of 1.06-0.55.