Internacional vs Santos

Internacional host Santos in the Serie A, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026. Internacional sit 18th in the table and Santos are 14th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Internacional have taken 4 draws and 1 defeat (D D D D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Santos have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D L W D W). Santos are averaging 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 6 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Internacional, 1 for Santos and 5 draws, averaging 2.9 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 75% at odds of 1.33. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.42 to 1.19.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Internacional vs Santos) at 75% based on expected goals of 1.42-1.19.