Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg

Hertha BSC host 1. FC Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Olympiastadion. Hertha BSC sit 2nd in the table and 1. FC Magdeburg are 5th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 3 league games Hertha BSC have taken 3 wins (W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 3.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 3 league games 1. FC Magdeburg have taken 2 wins and 1 defeat (L W W). 1. FC Magdeburg are averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 6 meetings have produced 1 win for Hertha BSC, 4 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 90% at odds of 1.11. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.52 to 2.23.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg) at 90% based on expected goals of 1.52-2.23.