Gais vs BK Hacken

Gais host BK Hacken in the Allsvenskan, kicking off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at Gamla Ullevi. Gais sit 9th in the table and BK Hacken are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Gais have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (D W L L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 8 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games BK Hacken have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (D L W W L). BK Hacken are averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 6 clean sheets so far.

Their last 6 meetings have produced 4 wins for Gais, 2 for BK Hacken and 0 draws, averaging 3.2 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 87% at odds of 1.15. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.13 to 0.88.

Gais' strong expected-goals advantage and recent dominant home performance (4-0) create clear home bias. BK Hacken's away xG of 0.84 and mixed recent form on the road reinforce the home-or-draw outcome.