Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh

Al Taawon host Al-Fateh in the Pro League, kicking off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at Al Taawon Arena. Al Taawon sit 15th in the table and Al-Fateh are 16th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games Al Taawon have taken 2 draws and 2 defeats (D L D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Al-Fateh have taken 2 draws and 2 defeats (L L D D). Al-Fateh are averaging 0.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 5 wins for Al Taawon, 3 for Al-Fateh and 2 draws, averaging 3.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.04 to 0.99.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh) at 85% based on expected goals of 1.04-0.99.