St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière

St. Truiden host RAAL La Louvière in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at Daio Wasabi Stayen. St. Truiden sit 11th in the table and RAAL La Louvière are 15th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games St. Truiden have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D D W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games RAAL La Louvière have taken 1 draw and 3 defeats (L L L D). RAAL La Louvière are averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 2 meetings have produced 2 wins for St. Truiden, 0 for RAAL La Louvière and 0 draws, averaging 3.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 86% at odds of 1.16. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.12 to 0.89.

St. Truiden create roughly double the expected goals of visiting RAAL La Louvière. The visiting side's poor form (LLLD) and home team's superior underlying metrics justify confidence in Home or Draw.