Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29

Le Havre host Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1, kicking off on Saturday, 5 September 2026. Le Havre sit 15th in the table and Stade Brestois 29 are 11th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Le Havre have taken 1 draw and 1 defeat (L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Stade Brestois 29 have taken 2 draws (D D). Stade Brestois 29 are averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 2 wins for Le Havre, 6 for Stade Brestois 29 and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.51 to 0.56.

Le Havre are at home with significant xG advantage despite both teams showing recent defensive instability. Brest's away form and limited offensive output support the home-or-draw bias.