Dunkerque vs Clermont Foot

Dunkerque host Clermont Foot in the Ligue 2, kicking off on Friday, 4 September 2026 at Stade Marcel Tribut. Dunkerque sit 10th in the table and Clermont Foot are 14th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games Dunkerque have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W D L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Clermont Foot have taken 3 draws and 1 defeat (D L D D). Clermont Foot are averaging 0.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 6 meetings have produced 2 wins for Dunkerque, 2 for Clermont Foot and 2 draws, averaging 3.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 89% at odds of 1.12. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.48 to 1.34.

Dunkerque's expected goals of just 0.48 and Clermont's defensive form limit scoring potential despite the away side's slightly higher xG of 1.34. Only 29% BTTS probability reinforces a low-scoring outcome.