Genoa vs Como

Genoa host Como in the Serie A, kicking off on Friday, 4 September 2026 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Genoa sit 20th in the table and Como are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 2 league games Genoa have taken 2 defeats (L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Como have taken 1 win and 1 draw (D W). Como are averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 6 meetings have produced 0 wins for Genoa, 2 for Como and 4 draws, averaging 2.2 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Away Win (Away) as the pick, rated 77% at odds of 1.3. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.67 to 2.57.

Statistical model favors Away (Genoa vs Como) at 77% based on expected goals of 0.67-2.57.