FC Basel 1893 vs FC Sion
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
FC Basel 1893 host FC Sion in the Super League, kicking off on Thursday, 3 September 2026 at St. Jakob-Park. FC Basel 1893 sit 3rd in the table and FC Sion are 4th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games FC Basel 1893 have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L W W D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 5 league games FC Sion have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (L W W L W). FC Sion are averaging 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.
Their last 9 meetings have produced 5 wins for FC Basel 1893, 2 for FC Sion and 2 draws, averaging 2.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 89% at odds of 1.12. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.95 to 2.57.
Sion's overwhelming away advantage in expected goals and recent form support this strong away or draw bet. Basel has not kept a clean sheet and faces a team generating 2.57 xG away.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away89%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.588%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)87%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away82%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)79%
- Away Win · Away71%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.568%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes57%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.553%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.547%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No43%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.532%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw29%
- Draw · Draw18%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)13%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.512%
- Home Win · Home11%
- Correct Score · 0-210%
Last 10 meetings
- LFC Basel 1893
0 - 226/04/2026
FC SionW - WFC Sion
2 - 012/02/2026
FC Basel 1893L - DFC Basel 1893
1 - 118/01/2026
FC SionD - LFC Sion
0 - 130/08/2025
FC Basel 1893W - WFC Basel 1893
2 - 001/03/2025
FC SionL - WFC Basel 1893
4 - 126/01/2025
FC SionL - DFC Sion
1 - 131/08/2024
FC Basel 1893D - LFC Sion
1 - 227/04/2023
FC Basel 1893W - WFC Basel 1893
3 - 111/02/2023
FC SionL
Recent form
- Lv
FC Sion1 - 2 - D@
BSC Young Boys3 - 3 - W@
FC Zurich2 - 1 - Lv
Barcelona2 - 5 - W@
Courtételle6 - 1 - Wv
FC Thun4 - 2 - Lv
Lausanne0 - 1 - W@
Servette FC1 - 0 - Dv
Juventus0 - 0 - Dv
FC Winterthur2 - 2
- W@
FC Basel 18932 - 1 - Lv
FC Lugano1 - 2 - L@
Ajax3 - 5 - Lv
Ajax2 - 4 - W@
Kerzers6 - 1 - Wv
FC Noah2 - 1 - Wv
FC Vaduz3 - 2 - D@
FC Noah2 - 2 - Wv
FC Luzern3 - 0 - Wv
Bate Borisov4 - 0
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Basel 1893 | 1.83 | 1.5 | 3 |
| FC Sion | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 15 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 9 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 7 | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 6 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.