Gent vs OH Leuven
Gent1-0
OH LeuvenHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Gent host OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Thursday, 3 September 2026 at Planet Group Arena. Gent sit 3rd in the table and OH Leuven are 17th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 3 league games Gent have taken 3 wins (W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 4 league games OH Leuven have taken 4 defeats (L L L L). OH Leuven are averaging 0.5 scored and 2.3 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 3 wins for Gent, 4 for OH Leuven and 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Draw (Draw) as the pick, rated 34% at odds of 2.94. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.19 to 0.73.
Statistical model favors Draw (Gent vs OH Leuven) at 34% based on expected goals of 1.19-0.73.
Market probabilities
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.587%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw79%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.570%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)68%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away66%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No62%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.559%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)58%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away55%
- Home Win · Home45%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.541%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes38%
- Draw · Draw34%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)32%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.530%
- Away Win · Away21%
- Correct Score · 0-016%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.513%
Last 10 meetings
- LGent1 - 307/02/2026OH LeuvenW
- WOH Leuven4 - 002/11/2025GentL
- DOH Leuven0 - 026/01/2025GentD
- WGent3 - 029/09/2024OH LeuvenL
- LGent0 - 112/05/2024OH LeuvenW
- WOH Leuven2 - 114/04/2024GentL
- WGent4 - 021/12/2023OH LeuvenL
- DOH Leuven1 - 117/09/2023GentD
- WGent2 - 019/02/2023OH LeuvenL
- DOH Leuven1 - 130/10/2022GentD
Recent form
- Wv
OH Leuven1 - 0 - Wv
Club Brugge KV2 - 1 - W@
Hibernian3 - 2 - DvHibernian0 - 0
- W@
RAAL La Louvière2 - 1 - Dv
IFK Goteborg1 - 1 - Wv
KV Mechelen2 - 0 - W@IFK Goteborg1 - 0
- D@
LNZ Cherkasy0 - 0
- L@
Gent0 - 1 - Lv
Standard Liege1 - 2 - LvClub Brugge KV0 - 3
- L@
Charleroi1 - 3 - Lv
Lille3 - 6 - D@
Heerenveen4 - 4 - L@
Club Brugge II0 - 3 - Wv
K. Lierse S.K.1 - 0 - Wv
Lommel United5 - 1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gent | 2 | 0.67 | 3 |
| OH Leuven | 0.5 | 2.25 | 17 |
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charleroi | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 | Gent | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 10 |
| 5 |  Zulte Waregem | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 8 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Genk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 | Lommel United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Antwerp | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 |  St. Truiden | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 |  Cercle Brugge | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louvière | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 |  KVC Westerlo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 0 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.